Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 1897.080127 2071.137282 2249.045353 2444.210477 2652.005938 2866.356734 3103.899897
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1666.453317 1927.640382 2206.028221 2523.723246 2875.098075 3250.713311 3681.454860
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1508.601366 1821.577392 2165.573102 2569.425457 3028.197279 3530.815312 4120.695143
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1362.210829 1707.601479 2097.440365 2566.269870 3110.899792 3719.782954 4447.951405
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1228.679277 1594.361935 2017.247783 2536.974482 3152.845423 3853.709653 4705.671521
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1145.464428 1532.513045 1989.745742 2562.341872 3252.493257 4049.779014 5032.296661
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1060.522145 1461.404894 1944.758893 2560.941651 3315.556157 4199.557551 5302.739555
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1010.409100 1429.375187 1943.725901 2609.692411 3436.581647 4416.894195 5653.431221
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 935.171170 1360.056564 1891.619861 2591.045701 3471.841381 4528.845543 5876.626688
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 901.492527 1342.177189 1902.343845 2649.367280 3601.156723 4754.814099 6238.869204
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 853.187391 1301.671451 1881.219642 2664.812458 3675.140976 4912.175569 6517.660354
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 804.147985 1257.135524 1852.146691 2667.616407 3731.311332 5046.480703 6768.011047
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 722.647224 1164.212813 1755.947065 2580.353850 3670.803766 5034.872201 6838.584632
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 709.384743 1166.613461 1787.735736 2662.714644 3830.893277 5303.556745 7263.930457
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 685.030456 1151.457122 1794.251146 2710.322417 3945.290374 5514.690786 7618.291882
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 645.367839 1111.630888 1764.554246 2707.035872 3991.179826 5637.384792 7860.475723
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 599.927916 1060.598696 1716.690439 2676.523604 3998.844861 5709.364074 8037.123512
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 575.369041 1039.751025 1710.570349 2702.944908 4082.629788 5880.628225 8342.842025
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 544.187994 1006.917872 1685.571576 2701.486581 4127.564555 6000.533939 8582.296657
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 529.958741 999.851113 1697.625326 2752.255946 4244.239228 6216.056196 8948.387519
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 497.280074 961.524007 1661.747843 2732.838226 4262.772815 6300.386572 9142.156477
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 487.937377 960.493642 1681.357541 2793.566882 4393.219408 6535.406463 9536.717145
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 467.617721 940.240834 1670.889220 2809.647362 4460.699498 6685.853559 9819.957027